Determinants of Housing Tenure Choice in New Zealand

Author/s: Bob Hargreaves

Date Published: 1/01/2003

Published in: Volume 9 - 2003 Issue 3 (pages 203 - 223)

Abstract

Over the last 15 years, the rate of home ownership in New Zealand has declined from 73% to 67%. The reasons for this decline are not clear, because there has been a lack of up-to-date research focusing on the determinants of housing tenure choice. This paper reports on a survey of private sector renters carried out in 2002. Respondents were asked to identify perceived impediments to ownership, and financial considerations were the main reason for renters not switching to home ownership. Difficulties in saving for a deposit on a house and the need to pay off existing debt were the main financial reasons cited. Lack of job security and the conflict between work and raising a family were also reported as being important. Hedonic models confirm the importance of household income as one of the key variables determining household tenure, particularly in the lower rent suburbs. The percentage of the population that are married was the dominant variable influencing the percentage of houses rented.

Download Full Article

Download the Full Article PDF

14445921.2003.11104140.pdf 14445921.2003.11104140.pdf (336kB)

Keywords

Home Ownership - Housing Affordability - New Zealand - Tenure Choice

References

  • AMP Banking. (2002), Home Affordability Report June, Vol 12, No.2.
  • Auckland Regional Council. (1999), Affordable Housing in the Auckland Region. Regional Growth Forum Report.
  • Bourassa, S. (1995), A Model of Tenure Choice in Australia. Journal of Urban Economics, Vol. 32, pp 1163-1173.
  • Bourassa, S. (2000), Ethnicity, Endogeneity and Housing Tenure Choice. Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Vol. 20, No. 3.
  • Chapman, R. (1981), To Rent or Buy? Research Paper 82/1, National Housing Commission, Wellington.
  • Christiansen, W. (1991), Mahoney’s Urban Land Economics. NZ Institute of Valuers, Wellington.
  • Crews, G. and Hopkins, J. (1999), New Zealand Mortgage Affordability Index. Massey University Real Estate Analysis Unit.
  • Goodman, A. (1988), An Econometric Model of Housing Price, Permanent Income, Tenure Choice and Housing Demand. Journal of Urban Economics, Vol. 23, pp 327-252.
  • Goodman, A. (2002), Estimating Equilibrium Housing Demand for ‘Stayers’. Journal of Urban Economics, Vol 51, No. 1.
  • Fisher, L. (2002), Tenure Choice and Labour Market Outcomes. Housing Studies, Vol 17, No. 1.
  • Green, R. and Hendershott, P. (1999), Home Ownership and Unemployment in the U.S. National Multi-Unit Housing Council, Washington. www.nmhc.org/publicat/recent/unemploy/body.html
  • Haffner, M. and Dol, C. (2000), Housing Statistics in the European Union 2000. Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands.
  • Hargreaves, R. (2002), To Rent or Buy: That is the Question. NZ Property Journal, March.
  • Kan, K. (2000), Modelling Housing Tenure Choice. Journal of Urban Economics, Vol 48, No. 1.
  • Knight, J. and Eakin, C. (1997), A New Look at the Home Ownership Decision. Real Estate Issues, Vol 23, No.2, pp 20-29.
  • Annual Report for Year End 30 June 2001
  • Norusis, M. (1996), SPSS 6.1 Guide to Data Analysis. Prentice Hall.
  • O’Dea, D. (2000), The Change in New Zealand’s Income Distribution. Treasury Working Paper 00/13. http://www.treasury. govt.nz/workingpapers/2000/twp00- 13.pdf
  • Pahl, R. (1998), Some Remarks on Informal Work, Social Polarisation and Social Structure. International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Vol 12, No. 2, pp 247-267.
  • Quotable Value. (2002), NZ Real Estate Market- Half Year Ended June 2002. Quotable Value.
  • Statistics New Zealand. (1998), Housing. Statistics New Zealand.
  • Statistics New Zealand. (2001), Household Expenditure Survey. Statistics New Zealand.
  • Statistics New Zealand. (2002), Meshblock Database-CD- ROM. Statistics New Zealand, http://www.statisticsnz.govt.nz.